Nkosi Ndebele vs Sergey Morozov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record19-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'6"
75"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova MMA AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nkosi NdebeleSergey Morozov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nkosi Ndebele60%
Sergey Morozov 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nkosi Ndebele a 60% favorite over Sergey Morozov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sergey Morozov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1674), separated by just 3 points.
Nkosi Ndebele enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Sergey Morozov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nkosi Ndebele finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Morozov 58%.
Nkosi Ndebele carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.