Nonato Junior vs Ron Keslar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-13-1Record11-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gameness Fight ClubTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1537
If they lose-12→ 1513
If they win+17→ 1530
If they lose-15→ 1498
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nonato JuniorRon Keslar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nonato Junior84%
Ron Keslar 16%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Nonato Junior a 84% favorite over Ron Keslar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1513), separated by just 12 points.
Nonato Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ron Keslar enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Nonato Junior finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Ron Keslar 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.