Combat Edge Intelligence

Nonato Junior vs Ryuta Sakurai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-13-1Record30-28-6
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gameness Fight ClubTeamR-Blood

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nonato JuniorNow 1525
If they win+12→ 1537
If they lose-12→ 1513
Ryuta SakuraiNow 1523
If they win+12→ 1535
If they lose-12→ 1511

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Nonato JuniorRyuta Sakurai
15001550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
11 (37%)
16 (84%)
Submission
12 (40%)
2 (11%)
Decision
7 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Nonato Junior70%
Ryuta Sakurai 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nonato Junior a 70% favorite over Ryuta Sakurai in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1523), separated by just 2 points.

Nonato Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryuta Sakurai enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nonato Junior finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Ryuta Sakurai 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.