Nonato Junior vs Waachiim Spiritwolf
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-13-1Record12-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
161 lbsWeight169 lbs
Gameness Fight ClubTeamSpiritwolf MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1537
If they lose-12→ 1513
If they win+16→ 1535
If they lose-16→ 1503
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nonato JuniorWaachiim Spiritwolf
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nonato Junior66%
Waachiim Spiritwolf 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Nonato Junior a 66% favorite over Waachiim Spiritwolf in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1519), separated by just 6 points.
Nonato Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Waachiim Spiritwolf enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nonato Junior finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Waachiim Spiritwolf 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.