Combat Edge Intelligence

Nonato Junior vs Wagner Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-13-1Record10-8-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'7"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
161 lbsWeight185 lbs
Gameness Fight ClubTeamTata Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nonato JuniorNow 1525
If they win+12→ 1537
If they lose-12→ 1513
Wagner SilvaNow 1522
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.69
TBD
Strike accuracy
30%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
TBD
Strike defense
66%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
58%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Nonato JuniorWagner Silva
1500155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
16 (84%)
Submission
5 (50%)
2 (11%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Nonato Junior80%
Wagner Silva 20%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nonato Junior a 80% favorite over Wagner Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1522), separated by just 3 points.

Nonato Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Wagner Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nonato Junior finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Wagner Silva 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.