Combat Edge Intelligence

Taiyilake Nueraji vs Samandar Murodov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record10-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Enbo Fight ClubTeamFight Club Akhmat Tajikistan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Taiyilake NuerajiNow 1708
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692
Samandar MurodovNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

11.01
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
49%
Strike accuracy
81%
7.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.80
59%
Strike defense
0%
0
Takedown avg.
3.01
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
3.01

Trajectory

Taiyilake NuerajiSamandar Murodov
165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (92%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
1 (8%)
Submission
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Taiyilake Nueraji52%
Samandar Murodov 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Taiyilake Nueraji a 52% favorite over Samandar Murodov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Samandar Murodov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1708 vs 1709), separated by just 1 points.

Taiyilake Nueraji enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Samandar Murodov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Taiyilake Nueraji finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Samandar Murodov 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.