Combat Edge Intelligence

Oli Thompson vs Łukasz Brzeski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Oli Thompson

Oli Thompson

“The Spartan”

22-16-0Light HeavyweightGOR MMA

1541Average

Tale of the tape

22-16-0Record9-7-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach78"
205 lbsWeight236 lbs
ZT Fight SkoolTeamNKSW Holy Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Oli ThompsonNow 1541
If they win+12→ 1553
If they lose-12→ 1529
Łukasz BrzeskiNow 1535
If they win+16→ 1551
If they lose-16→ 1519

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.66
Sig. strikes / min
5.02
46%
Strike accuracy
50%
5.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.68
47%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
0.43
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
37%
0.45
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Oli ThompsonŁukasz Brzeski
1550160020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

14 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
4 (19%)
Submission
2 (22%)
3 (14%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Łukasz Brzeski63%
Oli Thompson 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Łukasz Brzeski a 63% favorite over Oli Thompson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Oli Thompson's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1535), separated by just 6 points.

Łukasz Brzeski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Oli Thompson finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Łukasz Brzeski 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.