Ollie Schmid vs Ryan Roberts
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-3-0Record21-12-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'6"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
City KickboxingTeamDisorderly Conduct
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1558
If they lose-24→ 1510
If they win+24→ 1554
If they lose-24→ 1506
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ollie SchmidRyan Roberts
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ollie Schmid56%
Ryan Roberts 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ollie Schmid a 56% favorite over Ryan Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1534 vs 1530), separated by just 4 points.
Ollie Schmid finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Roberts 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.