Combat Edge Intelligence

Oscar Cota vs Tai Tuivasa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Oscar Cota
mx

Oscar Cota

“Elevation”

11-3-0HeavyweightDWCS

1609Solid
Tai Tuivasa
au

Tai Tuivasa

“Bam Bam”

14-10-0HeavyweightUFC

1611Solid

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
41,0"Reach75"
261 lbsWeight265 lbs
Kimura Training CenterTeamLions High Performance Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Oscar CotaNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Tai TuivasaNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.33
Sig. strikes / min
3.66
42%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.97
41%
Strike defense
44%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
60%
Takedown defense
60%
1
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Oscar CotaTai Tuivasa
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
1 (9%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (55%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Tai Tuivasa70%
Oscar Cota 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tai Tuivasa a 70% favorite over Oscar Cota in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1611), separated by just 2 points.

Tai Tuivasa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Oscar Cota finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.