Combat Edge Intelligence

Otari Tanzilovi vs Tom Niinimaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tom Niinimaki
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Tom Niinimaki

“Stoneface”

22-8-1FeatherweightEuroFC

1626Solid

Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record22-8-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
138 lbsWeight145 lbs
Guram Fight ClubTeamFinnfighters' Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Otari TanziloviNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Tom NiinimakiNow 1626
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.53
Sig. strikes / min
1.91
72%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
56%
Strike defense
58%
4
Takedown avg.
2.97
25%
Takedown accuracy
46%
0%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Otari TanziloviTom Niinimaki
16502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (36%)
3 (30%)
Decision
7 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Otari Tanzilovi63%
Tom Niinimaki 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Otari Tanzilovi a 63% favorite over Tom Niinimaki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tom Niinimaki's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1626), separated by just 3 points.

Otari Tanzilovi finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Tom Niinimaki 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.