Combat Edge Intelligence

Ottman Azaitar vs Sage Northcutt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record12-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'0"
71"Reach71,5"
156 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jupps Fight TeamTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ottman AzaitarNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Sage NorthcuttNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.73
Sig. strikes / min
3.58
52%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.96
48%
Strike defense
59%
0
Takedown avg.
1.81
TBD
Takedown accuracy
35%
100%
Takedown defense
42%
0
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Ottman AzaitarSage Northcutt
1650170020232024

Win method breakdown

10 (77%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
2 (15%)
Submission
4 (33%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Sage Northcutt68%
Ottman Azaitar 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sage Northcutt a 68% favorite over Ottman Azaitar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ottman Azaitar's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1664), separated by just 0 points.

Ottman Azaitar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ottman Azaitar finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Sage Northcutt 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.