Combat Edge Intelligence

Patrick Ocheme vs Terrance McKinney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record18-9-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
76"Reach73"
157 lbsWeight155 lbs
Mayhem Fitness AcademyTeamWarrior Camp

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Patrick OchemeNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
Terrance McKinneyNow 1661
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.53
TBD
Strike accuracy
56%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.45
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.31
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
73%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.07

Trajectory

Patrick OchemeTerrance McKinney
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (50%)
3 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Patrick Ocheme and Terrance McKinney within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1661), separated by just 1 points.

Patrick Ocheme enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Patrick Ocheme finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Terrance McKinney 100%.

Patrick Ocheme carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.