Combat Edge Intelligence

Patrick Smith vs Sean Rose

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-17-0Record2-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReachN/A
225 lbsWeight264 lbs
TBDTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Patrick SmithNow 1484
If they win+12→ 1496
If they lose-12→ 1472
Sean RoseNow 1472
If they win+25→ 1497
If they lose-23→ 1449

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Patrick SmithSean Rose
14501500201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

13 (65%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
6 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (5%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Patrick Smith and Sean Rose within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1484 vs 1472), separated by just 12 points.

Patrick Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Patrick Smith finishes 95% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.