Patrick Vespaziani vs Ray Sefo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record2-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'0"
79"ReachTBD
242 lbsWeight249 lbs
MMA SpiritTeamRay Sefo Fight Academy
What's at stake
Patrick Vespaziani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ray Sefo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1547
If they lose-17→ 1515
If they win+26→ 1530
If they lose-22→ 1482
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Patrick VespazianiRay Sefo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Vespaziani63%
Ray Sefo 37%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 63% favorite over Ray Sefo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Patrick Vespaziani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1532 to 1504, a 28-point edge.
Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ray Sefo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Vespaziani finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.