Combat Edge Intelligence

Patrick Vespaziani vs Roberto Traven

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record6-4-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'3"
79"ReachTBD
242 lbsWeight227 lbs
MMA SpiritTeamAlliance Team

What's at stake

Patrick Vespaziani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Roberto Traven carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Patrick VespazianiNow 1532
If they win+15→ 1547
If they lose-17→ 1515
Roberto TravenNow 1506
If they win+17→ 1523
If they lose-15→ 1491

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.92
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.77
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Patrick VespazianiRoberto Traven
15001550160020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Vespaziani63%
Roberto Traven 37%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 63% favorite over Roberto Traven in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Patrick Vespaziani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1532 to 1506, a 26-point edge.

Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Patrick Vespaziani finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Roberto Traven 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.