Combat Edge Intelligence

Patrick Vespaziani vs Scott Bessac

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record4-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'4"
79"ReachTBD
242 lbsWeight259 lbs
MMA SpiritTeamLion's Den

What's at stake

Patrick Vespaziani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Scott Bessac carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Patrick VespazianiNow 1529
If they win+13→ 1542
If they lose-19→ 1510
Scott BessacNow 1457
If they win+19→ 1476
If they lose-13→ 1444

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Patrick VespazianiScott Bessac
1400145015001550160019951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (100%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Vespaziani70%
Scott Bessac 30%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 70% favorite over Scott Bessac in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Patrick Vespaziani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1529 to 1457, a 72-point edge.

Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Scott Bessac enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Patrick Vespaziani finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Scott Bessac 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.