Patrick Vespaziani vs Sean O'Haire
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record4-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'6"
79"ReachTBD
242 lbsWeight265 lbs
MMA SpiritTeamTBD
What's at stake
Patrick Vespaziani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Sean O'Haire carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1547
If they lose-17→ 1515
If they win+25→ 1542
If they lose-23→ 1494
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Patrick VespazianiSean O'Haire
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Vespaziani62%
Sean O'Haire 38%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 62% favorite over Sean O'Haire in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Patrick Vespaziani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1532 to 1517, a 15-point edge.
Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sean O'Haire enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Patrick Vespaziani finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sean O'Haire 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.