Patrick Vespaziani vs Tim Catalfo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record4-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height5'11"
79"ReachTBD
242 lbsWeight231 lbs
MMA SpiritTeamTeam Obake
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1545
If they lose-16→ 1513
If they win+24→ 1559
If they lose-24→ 1511
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Patrick VespazianiTim Catalfo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Vespaziani52%
Tim Catalfo 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 52% favorite over Tim Catalfo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tim Catalfo's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1535), separated by just 6 points.
Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tim Catalfo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Vespaziani finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tim Catalfo 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.