Patrick Vespaziani vs Tyson Fury
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record35-2-1
HeavyweightDivisionheavyweight
6'7"Height6'9"
79"Reach85"
242 lbsWeight254 lbs
MMA SpiritTeam Jimmy Egan's Boxing Academy
What's at stake
Patrick Vespaziani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Tyson Fury carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1544
If they lose-17→ 1512
If they win+26→ 1526
If they lose-22→ 1478
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight EloTBD
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Vespaziani52%
Tyson Fury 48%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 52% favorite over Tyson Fury in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Patrick Vespaziani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1529 to 1500, a 29-point edge.
Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Vespaziani finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Fury 69%.
Tyson Fury carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.