Combat Edge Intelligence

Patrick Vespaziani vs Wes Sims

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Wes Sims
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Wes Sims

“A Whole Show”

24-15-1Heavyweight

1527Average

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record24-15-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'9"
79"ReachTBD
242 lbsWeight258 lbs
MMA SpiritTeamHammer House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Patrick VespazianiNow 1529
If they win+16→ 1545
If they lose-16→ 1513
Wes SimsNow 1527
If they win+12→ 1539
If they lose-12→ 1515

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.10
TBD
Strike accuracy
68%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.30
TBD
Strike defense
37%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
40%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.61

Trajectory

Patrick VespazianiWes Sims
155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (100%)
KO/TKO
13 (59%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (41%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Vespaziani66%
Wes Sims 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 66% favorite over Wes Sims in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1527), separated by just 2 points.

Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Patrick Vespaziani finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Wes Sims 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.