Patrick Vespaziani vs Willie Peeters
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Willie Peeters
Elo1471AverageTale of the tape
6-4-0Record9-10-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height5'9"
79"ReachTBD
242 lbsWeight218 lbs
MMA SpiritTeamDolman Gym
What's at stake
Patrick Vespaziani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Willie Peeters carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1542
If they lose-19→ 1510
If they win+14→ 1485
If they lose-10→ 1461
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1475 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Patrick VespazianiWillie Peeters
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Vespaziani70%
Willie Peeters 30%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 70% favorite over Willie Peeters in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Patrick Vespaziani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1529 to 1471, a 58-point edge.
Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Vespaziani finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Willie Peeters 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.