Patrick Vespaziani vs Zu Anyanwu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record15-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'1"
79"Reach41.00
242 lbsWeight251 lbs
MMA SpiritTeamRenzo Gracie Philly
What's at stake
Patrick Vespaziani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Zu Anyanwu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1543
If they lose-18→ 1511
If they win+27→ 1515
If they lose-21→ 1467
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Patrick VespazianiZu Anyanwu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Vespaziani75%
Zu Anyanwu 25%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 75% favorite over Zu Anyanwu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Patrick Vespaziani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1529 to 1488, a 41-point edge.
Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Vespaziani finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Zu Anyanwu 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.