Combat Edge Intelligence

Patrick Williams vs Trevin Jones

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record14-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
73,0"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
IndependentTeamVida Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Patrick WilliamsNow 1560
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544
Trevin JonesNow 1554
If they win+16→ 1570
If they lose-16→ 1538

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.12
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
52%
Strike accuracy
37%
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.29
52%
Strike defense
40%
2.71
Takedown avg.
0.62
42%
Takedown accuracy
15%
100%
Takedown defense
60%
0.54
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Patrick WilliamsTrevin Jones
15501600201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
3 (38%)
Submission
4 (29%)
1 (13%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Williams53%
Trevin Jones 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Williams a 53% favorite over Trevin Jones in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1554), separated by just 6 points.

Patrick Williams enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Trevin Jones enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Patrick Williams finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Jones 50%.

Patrick Williams carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.