Patrik Kincl vs Rickson Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-12-0Record11-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'10"
72"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
All Sports AcademyTeamRickson Gracie Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686
If they win+24→ 1727
If they lose-24→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Patrik KinclRickson Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrik Kincl63%
Rickson Gracie 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrik Kincl a 63% favorite over Rickson Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rickson Gracie's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1702 vs 1703), separated by just 1 points.
Patrik Kincl enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Rickson Gracie enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Patrik Kincl finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Rickson Gracie 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.