Paul Craig vs Wes Combs
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-10-1Record20-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
76"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight230 lbs
Scottish Hit SquadTeamMillennia MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1674
If they lose-12→ 1650
If they win+12→ 1670
If they lose-12→ 1646
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1714 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Paul CraigWes Combs
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Craig60%
Wes Combs 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Craig a 60% favorite over Wes Combs in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1658), separated by just 4 points.
Paul Craig enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Paul Craig finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Wes Combs 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.