Combat Edge Intelligence

Paul Elliott vs Todd Duffee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record9-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
-Reach78,0"
246 lbsWeight241 lbs
TFT MMATeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Paul ElliottNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
Todd DuffeeNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.72
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
90%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Paul ElliottTodd Duffee
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (100%)
KO/TKO
9 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Paul Elliott70%
Todd Duffee 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Paul Elliott a 70% favorite over Todd Duffee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1601), separated by just 6 points.

Paul Elliott enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Todd Duffee enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Paul Elliott finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Todd Duffee 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.