Combat Edge Intelligence

Paul Elliott vs Tony Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record18-8-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
246 lbsWeight265 lbs
TFT MMATeamNashville MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Paul ElliottNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
Tony JohnsonNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.73
TBD
Strike defense
31%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2
TBD
Takedown accuracy
22%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Paul ElliottTony Johnson
15001550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (100%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Paul Elliott71%
Tony Johnson 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Paul Elliott a 71% favorite over Tony Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1603), separated by just 4 points.

Paul Elliott enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Tony Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Paul Elliott finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tony Johnson 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.