Paul Herrera vs Ryan Parker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record4-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Empire Training CenterTeamTeam XCWT MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1521
If they lose-25→ 1473
If they win+16→ 1506
If they lose-16→ 1474
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Paul HerreraRyan Parker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Herrera61%
Ryan Parker 39%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Herrera a 61% favorite over Ryan Parker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1498 vs 1490), separated by just 8 points.
Ryan Parker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryan Parker 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.