Paul Hughes vs Santiago Ponzinibbio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record30-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
70"Reach73″
159 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight Academy IrelandTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1721 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Paul HughesSantiago Ponzinibbio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Hughes66%
Santiago Ponzinibbio 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Hughes a 66% favorite over Santiago Ponzinibbio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1712), separated by just 1 points.
Paul Hughes finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Ponzinibbio 77%.
Santiago Ponzinibbio carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.