Paul Taylor vs Áureo Cruz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-1Record3-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach63"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team SupremeTeamNew Generation MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1552
If they lose-15→ 1520
If they win+23→ 1572
If they lose-25→ 1524
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Paul TaylorÁureo Cruz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Áureo Cruz71%
Paul Taylor 29%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Áureo Cruz a 71% favorite over Paul Taylor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1535 vs 1549), separated by just 14 points.
Paul Taylor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Paul Taylor finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Áureo Cruz 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.