Combat Edge Intelligence

Pedro Nobre vs Zach Makovsky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-7-2Record21-12-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
TBDReach64,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Brazilian Top TeamTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Pedro NobreNow 1587
If they win+12→ 1599
If they lose-12→ 1575
Zach MakovskyNow 1585
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.37
Sig. strikes / min
1.94
30%
Strike accuracy
43%
9.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.24
35%
Strike defense
62%
0
Takedown avg.
3.71
0%
Takedown accuracy
31%
0%
Takedown defense
57%
0
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Pedro NobreZach Makovsky
16002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (55%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
6 (27%)
Submission
7 (33%)
4 (18%)
Decision
13 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

Pedro Nobre53%
Zach Makovsky 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Nobre a 53% favorite over Zach Makovsky in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1585), separated by just 2 points.

Zach Makovsky enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Pedro Nobre finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Zach Makovsky 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.