Peter Sobotta vs Ty Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-1Record7-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Planet EaterTeamFit NHB
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
If they win+24→ 1678
If they lose-24→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Peter SobottaTy Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ty Miller72%
Peter Sobotta 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ty Miller a 72% favorite over Peter Sobotta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1654), separated by just 2 points.
Peter Sobotta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ty Miller enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Peter Sobotta finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ty Miller 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.