Phil Davis vs Zak Cummings
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-7-0Record25-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Alliance MMATeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Phil DavisZak Cummings
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zak Cummings52%
Phil Davis 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zak Cummings a 52% favorite over Phil Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil Davis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1739 vs 1739), separated by just 0 points.
Zak Cummings enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Phil Davis finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Zak Cummings 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.