Combat Edge Intelligence

Phil De Fries vs Sergey Bilostenniy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-6-0Record15-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
264 lbsWeight262 lbs
Alliance MMATeamRaty Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Phil De FriesNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
Sergey BilostenniyNow 1708
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.30
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
38%
Strike defense
TBD
3.29
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.55
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Phil De FriesSergey Bilostenniy
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (24%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
14 (56%)
Submission
1 (7%)
5 (20%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Sergey Bilostenniy70%
Phil De Fries 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergey Bilostenniy a 70% favorite over Phil De Fries in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1708), separated by just 1 points.

Phil De Fries enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Sergey Bilostenniy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Phil De Fries finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Bilostenniy 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.