Rafael do Nascimento vs Ruslan Satiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record6-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'6"
70"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
X-GymTeamKHK MMA Dagestan
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rafael do NascimentoRuslan Satiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ruslan Satiev60%
Rafael do Nascimento 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Satiev a 60% favorite over Rafael do Nascimento in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.
Rafael do Nascimento enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Ruslan Satiev enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Rafael do Nascimento finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Satiev 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.