Rafael dos Anjos vs Santiago Ponzinibbio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
32-17-0Record30-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
70"Reach73″
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
RDA AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1721 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rafael dos AnjosSantiago Ponzinibbio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Santiago Ponzinibbio66%
Rafael dos Anjos 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Santiago Ponzinibbio a 66% favorite over Rafael dos Anjos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rafael dos Anjos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1712), separated by just 1 points.
Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Rafael dos Anjos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Ponzinibbio 77%.
Rafael dos Anjos and Santiago Ponzinibbio share 1 common opponent: Geoff Neal.
Santiago Ponzinibbio carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.