Combat Edge Intelligence

Rafael Fiziev vs Rashid Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record25-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
71"Reach70,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamGorets Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rafael FizievNow 1730
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714
Rashid MagomedovNow 1728
If they win+12→ 1740
If they lose-12→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.71
Sig. strikes / min
4.40
53%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
50%
Strike defense
55%
0.83
Takedown avg.
0.67
67%
Takedown accuracy
57%
90%
Takedown defense
89%
0
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Rafael FizievRashid Magomedov
1700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
9 (36%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (4%)
4 (29%)
Decision
15 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Rafael Fiziev72%
Rashid Magomedov 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Fiziev a 72% favorite over Rashid Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1728), separated by just 2 points.

Rafael Fiziev finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Rashid Magomedov 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.