Rafael Xavier vs Victor Valimaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-9-0Record18-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
78"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight233 lbs
Sayyato Performance GymTeamComplete Fitness and Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rafael XavierVictor Valimaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael Xavier66%
Victor Valimaki 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Xavier a 66% favorite over Victor Valimaki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Victor Valimaki's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1585), separated by just 6 points.
Victor Valimaki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Rafael Xavier finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Victor Valimaki 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.