Combat Edge Intelligence

Ramiz Brahimaj vs Tim Means

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Means
us

Tim Means

“The Dirty Bird”

33-17-1WelterweightUFC

1646Solid

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record33-17-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
72"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamFit NHB

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ramiz BrahimajNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
Tim MeansNow 1646
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.29
Sig. strikes / min
5.04
49%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.65
47%
Strike defense
60%
1.99
Takedown avg.
1.14
14%
Takedown accuracy
40%
45%
Takedown defense
65%
1.60
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Ramiz BrahimajTim Means
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
20 (61%)
12 (92%)
Submission
5 (15%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Ramiz Brahimaj73%
Tim Means 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ramiz Brahimaj a 73% favorite over Tim Means in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1646), separated by just 1 points.

Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ramiz Brahimaj finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tim Means 76%.

Ramiz Brahimaj and Tim Means share 2 common opponents: Court McGee and Max Griffin.

Tim Means carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
Court McGee
LossSubmission · 2024
LossTKO · 2020
Max Griffin
LossDecision (split) · 2022