Combat Edge Intelligence

Rashad Evans vs Scott Askham

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-8-1Record20-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
75"Reach75,0"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rashad EvansNow 1674
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
Scott AskhamNow 1676
If they win+12→ 1688
If they lose-12→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1724 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1623 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.14
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
38%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.52
63%
Strike defense
52%
2.98
Takedown avg.
0.44
45%
Takedown accuracy
18%
74%
Takedown defense
65%
0
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Rashad EvansScott Askham
170020232024

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
12 (60%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (10%)
11 (55%)
Decision
6 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Scott Askham53%
Rashad Evans 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Scott Askham a 53% favorite over Rashad Evans in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1676), separated by just 2 points.

Rashad Evans finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Scott Askham 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.