Rasul Magomedov vs Thiago Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record22-13-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
73"Reach 76"
205 lbsWeight241 lbs
KHK MMA TeamTeamTeam Marreta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-12→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rasul MagomedovThiago Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rasul Magomedov71%
Thiago Santos 29%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Rasul Magomedov a 71% favorite over Thiago Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1699 vs 1694), separated by just 5 points.
Rasul Magomedov enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Thiago Santos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Rasul Magomedov finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Santos 73%.
Thiago Santos carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.