Raul Castillo vs Steven Hill
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record7-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
UnknownReach73"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Raul Castillo Martial ArtsTeamNovo BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1625
If they lose-24→ 1577
If they win+24→ 1625
If they lose-24→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Raul CastilloSteven Hill
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raul Castillo60%
Steven Hill 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Raul Castillo a 60% favorite over Steven Hill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1601), separated by just 0 points.
Steven Hill enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Raul Castillo finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Steven Hill 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.