Combat Edge Intelligence

Rayan Atmani vs Richie Hightower

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record8-4-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"HeightTBD
73"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cage Winner DZTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rayan AtmaniNow 1539
If they win+24→ 1563
If they lose-24→ 1515
Richie HightowerNow 1538
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.62
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.92
TBD
Strike defense
21%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.46
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rayan AtmaniRichie Hightower
1500155020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
1 (20%)
Submission
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Rayan Atmani59%
Richie Hightower 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rayan Atmani a 59% favorite over Richie Hightower in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1538), separated by just 1 points.

Rayan Atmani finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Richie Hightower 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.