Combat Edge Intelligence

Regan Upshaw vs Ricardo Barros

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Regan Upshaw
us

Regan Upshaw

“The Eternal”

0-1-0Light HeavyweightONE

1478Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record2-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"HeightTBD
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Havoc MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

Regan Upshaw is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ricardo Barros carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Regan UpshawNow 1478
If they win+23→ 1501
If they lose-25→ 1453
Ricardo BarrosNow 1457
If they win+25→ 1482
If they lose-23→ 1434

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
0%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.22
TBD
Strike defense
31%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Regan UpshawRicardo Barros
14501500200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Regan Upshaw70%
Ricardo Barros 30%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 70% favorite over Ricardo Barros in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Regan Upshaw holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1457, a 21-point edge.

Ricardo Barros enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.