Combat Edge Intelligence

Regan Upshaw vs Takahiro Oba

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Regan Upshaw
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Regan Upshaw

“The Eternal”

0-1-0Light HeavyweightONE

1478Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record5-7-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight198 lbs
Havoc MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Regan UpshawNow 1478
If they win+23→ 1501
If they lose-25→ 1453
Takahiro ObaNow 1468
If they win+16→ 1484
If they lose-16→ 1452

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Regan UpshawTakahiro Oba
1450150020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Regan Upshaw70%
Takahiro Oba 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 70% favorite over Takahiro Oba in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1478 vs 1468), separated by just 10 points.

Takahiro Oba 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.