Combat Edge Intelligence

Renan Barão vs Westin Wilson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Renan Barão
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Renan Barão

“The Baron”

34-10-0BantamweightGFL

1598Solid

Tale of the tape

34-10-0Record17-10-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height6'1"
70"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamFour7 Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Renan BarãoNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Westin WilsonNow 1596
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
1.68
37%
Strike accuracy
33%
3.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.72
58%
Strike defense
31%
1.49
Takedown avg.
1.68
42%
Takedown accuracy
17%
91%
Takedown defense
33%
0.54
Submission avg.
8.41

Trajectory

Renan BarãoWestin Wilson
1600202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (24%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
15 (44%)
Submission
12 (71%)
11 (32%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Renan Barão and Westin Wilson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1596), separated by just 2 points.

Renan Barão enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Renan Barão finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Westin Wilson 100%.

Westin Wilson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.