Renan Ferreira vs Shane del Rosario
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record11-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'8"Height6'3"
85"ReachTBD
264 lbsWeight246 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamTeam Oyama
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Renan FerreiraShane del Rosario
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Renan Ferreira66%
Shane del Rosario 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Renan Ferreira a 66% favorite over Shane del Rosario in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1656), separated by just 10 points.
Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Shane del Rosario enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Renan Ferreira finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Shane del Rosario 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.