Combat Edge Intelligence

Renan Ferreira vs Stefan Struve

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record29-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'8"Height7'0"
85"Reach84,5"
264 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamTeam Schrijber

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Renan FerreiraNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Stefan StruveNow 1664
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.04
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.56
TBD
Takedown accuracy
47%
TBD
Takedown defense
56%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.68

Trajectory

Renan FerreiraStefan Struve
1650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (85%)
KO/TKO
8 (29%)
1 (8%)
Submission
18 (64%)
1 (8%)
Decision
2 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Renan Ferreira66%
Stefan Struve 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Renan Ferreira a 66% favorite over Stefan Struve in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1664), separated by just 2 points.

Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Renan Ferreira finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Stefan Struve 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.