Combat Edge Intelligence

Renzo Gracie vs Ronald Paradeiser

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-7-1Record23-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
171 lbsWeight171 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamOctagon Fighting Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Renzo GracieNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Ronald ParadeiserNow 1650
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.71
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
1.13
Takedown avg.
TBD
21%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
40%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.80
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Renzo GracieRonald Paradeiser
1650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
14 (61%)
8 (62%)
Submission
3 (13%)
3 (23%)
Decision
6 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronald Paradeiser59%
Renzo Gracie 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronald Paradeiser a 59% favorite over Renzo Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.

Ronald Paradeiser enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Renzo Gracie finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Ronald Paradeiser 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.