Combat Edge Intelligence

Rhadi Ferguson vs Richard Muzaan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record6-4-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'9"Height6'3"
TBDReach83"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rhadi FergusonNow 1574
If they win+24→ 1598
If they lose-24→ 1550
Richard MuzaanNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Rhadi FergusonRichard Muzaan
155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
1 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Richard Muzaan60%
Rhadi Ferguson 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Richard Muzaan a 60% favorite over Rhadi Ferguson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1575), separated by just 1 points.

Rhadi Ferguson enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Rhadi Ferguson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Richard Muzaan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.